2024 年 4 月 12 日 CRETA Seminar - Synthetic Historical Control for Policy Evaluation without Cross-sectional Controls

訊息標題：

2024 年 4 月 12 日 CRETA Seminar - Synthetic Historical Control for Policy Evaluation without Cross-sectional Controls

簡介摘要：

國立臺灣大學計量理論與應用研究中心 (CRETA) 及臺灣經濟計量學會 (TES) 將於 2024 年 4 月 12 日舉辦 CRETA Seminar。相關資訊如下：

 

【 4 月 12 日 CRETA Seminar】

日期：2024 年 4 月 12 日 (週五) 下午 2:00~3:30

地點：國立臺灣大學管理學院二號館 103 教室

講者：

陳宜廷教授 (國立臺灣大學財務金融學系)

楊睿中教授 (國立臺灣大學經濟學系)

楊子霆教授 (中央研究院經濟研究所)

演講主題：Synthetic Historical Control for Policy Evaluation without Cross-sectional Controls 

講題摘要：

We propose a synthetic historical control method for policy evaluation without using cross-sectional controls. This method is established in the spirit of the conventional synthetic control method but is distinguished by replacing the cross-sectional controls with a set of historical controls. This replacement is crucial for policy evaluation in the absence of valid cross-sectional controls. Our method is built on a semi-parametric time-series regression that accounts for not only observed features but also a latent component of the outcome variable of the treated unit in addition to the time-varying intervention effect to be estimated. We demonstrate that the proposed method is approximately unbiased for estimating the intervention effect under suitable conditions and performs well in simulation and empirical applications.

 

 

備註事項：

欲參加CRETA Seminar的朋友們，煩請事先報名。  

報名期限：2024/4/11 (四)  中午 12:00

報名網址：https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1M6_EJ7jKQioOVDKeNMgAzk1QjU4gQHx-npOSoIloKM4/edit

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